I am a researcher in philosophy at the Institute for Futures Studies. I did my PhD at the London School of Economics, with a thesis entitled Policymaking under scientific uncertainty.
My research concerns what decisions to make, and which beliefs to hold, when one has highly uncertain evidence. This work combines elements of decision theory, formal epistemology and philosophy of science. I often work on issues related to scientific modelling, or using the results of models, and I focus largely on climate science. I also work on the methodology of philosophy, and specifically the use of models in philosophy.
I lead the project Expertise in crises (funded by the Swedish Research Council) and the Mimir Center for Long Term Futures Research.
