predictive
Productive Justice in the 'Post-Work Future'
In: Mosquera, J. & O. Torpman (ed.), Studies on Climate Ethics and Future Generations vol. 6. Working Paper Series 2024:10–17 Abstract Justice in production is concerned with ensuring the benefits and
Virginie Pérotin: Are more democratic firms more productive?
Virginie Pérotin, Professor of Economics at Leeds University Business School ABSTRACTFirms run by their employees are often thought to be more productive than other firms because of the effects of work

Completed: Predicting the diffusion of artificial intelligence
A framework for predicting the spread of AI applications.

Systemic risk models as a policy prediction tool with Anders Sandberg
Presentation at the workshop "AI and autonomous decision making" at the Institute for Futures Studies in Stockholm, October 2017.
"Botten Ada" - Predicting the Swedish Election Using a Bayesian State-Space-Model
Research seminar with Jens Finnäs (J++), Måns Magnusson (Assistant Professor in statistics at Uppsala University), and Jonas Wallin (Associate Professor at Lund University). Register In the Swedish elect
Anna Dreber Almenberg: Which results can we trust? Using replications, prediction markets and other tools to assess the reproducibility of scientific results.
Anna Dreber Almenberg, Professor of Economics, Stockholm School of EconomicsAbstractWhy are there so many false results in the published scientific literature? And what is the actual share of results
Predicting Alcohol Misuse Among Australian 19-Year-Olds from Adolescent Drinking Trajectories
Substance Use & Misuse, doi.org/10.1080/10826084.2018.1517172. AbstractBackground: Alcohol use in adolescence predicts future alcohol misuse. However, the extent to which different patterns of adol This study investigated how adolescent trajectories of alcohol consumption during the school years predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Data were drawn from 707 students from Victoria, Australia, longitudinally followed for 7 years. Five alcohol use trajectories were identified based on the frequency of alcohol use from Grade 6 (age 12 years) to Grade 11 (age 17 years). At age 19 years, participants completed measures indicating Heavy Episodic Drinking (HED), dependency – Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) and social harms. At 19 years of age, 64% of participants reported HED, 42% high AUDIT scores (8+), and 23% social harms. Participants belonging to a steep escalator trajectory during adolescence had twice the odds at 19 years of age of high AUDIT scores and social harms, and three times greater odds of HED than participants whose alcohol use slowly increased. Stable moderate consumption was also associated with an increased risk of HED compared to slowly increasing use. Abstinence predicted a reduced likelihood of all forms of misuse at 19 years of age compared to slowly increased alcohol use. Trajectories of drinking frequency during adolescence predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Although rapid increasing use presents the greatest risk, even slowly increasing drinking predicts increased risk compared to abstinence. The findings indicate that alcohol policies should recommend nonuse and reduced frequency of use during adolescence.
Predicting how US public opinion on moral issues will change from 2018 to 2020 and beyond
Royal Society Open Science, vol. 9, issue 4 Abstract The General Social Survey, conducted every 2 years, measures public opinion on a wide range of moral issues. The data from the 2020 survey are expect

Emma Engström
I defended my PhD thesis on predictive modeling of groundwater contamination at the Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering (SEED), KTH, Royal Institute of Technol
Money, peers and parents: Social and economic aspects of inequality in youth wellbeing.
Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 45(7), 1294-1308. Abstract Indicators of social and economic status are important health determinants. However, evidence for the influence of family socioeconomic statu