prediktion
Systemic risk models as a policy prediction tool with Anders Sandberg
Presentation at the workshop "AI and autonomous decision making" at the Institute for Futures Studies in Stockholm, October 2017.
Anna Dreber Almenberg: Which results can we trust? Using replications, prediction markets and other tools to assess the reproducibility of scientific results.
Anna Dreber Almenberg, Professor of Economics, Stockholm School of EconomicsAbstractWhy are there so many false results in the published scientific literature? And what is the actual share of results
74 predictions on moral and political development
How come today’s conservatives are more liberal than yesterday’s liberals? Why has the public opinion in large parts of the world shifted so rapidly in favor of gay and lesbian rights, but been virtua
Completed: Predictions of changes in opinion on moral issues – a cross-cultural test on a new theory
Today, moral questions tend to become more important to voters in many countries. Is it possible to understand - and predict - how the public opinion changes on moral issues?
Discontinuous and continuous stochastic choice and coordination in the lab
Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 206, 2022. Abstract We experimentally test theoretical predictions on equilibrium selection in a two-player coordination (investment) game. Through a minimal visual vari
The normality assumption in coordination games with flexible information acquisition
Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 203, 2022. Abstract Many economic models assume that random variables follow normal (Gaussian) distributions. Yet, real-world variables may be non-normally distributed.
"Botten Ada" - Predicting the Swedish Election Using a Bayesian State-Space-Model
Research seminar with Jens Finnäs (J++), Måns Magnusson (Assistant Professor in statistics at Uppsala University), and Jonas Wallin (Associate Professor at Lund University). Register In the Swedish elect
Completed: Improved health
With the help of big data and AI, children and young people in the risk zone for ill health can be identified for individually tailored efforts. The project is done in Angered.
Is conservative opposition to climate change threat-based? Articulating an integrated threat model of climate change attitudes
British Journal of Social Psychology Abstract Throughout the literature, there are assertions that those endorsing conservative ideologies reject the science and solutions of climate change due to perce
The dangers of excessive ambitions within the social sciences - Jon Elster
www.iffs.se Part 1: In this lecture Jon Elster diagnoses this flaw and discusses possible remedies. He argues that actual agents are intrinsically less sophisticated than the models assume them to
